How is an outcome's expected share calculated?

Expected share is the number of segments an outcome fills divided by the total. On Money Time's 54-segment wheel, “1” fills 23 segments, so it is expected on 42.6% of spins. On roulette, every number from 0 to 36 is 1 in 37, or 2.70%.

Can past results predict the next spin?

No. Every spin is independent. Hot and cold numbers, streaks and spins since describe what already happened and predict nothing. No outcome is ever due, and no pattern changes the odds.

How it works

Official results. Counted once.

Q: What does pp mean in the statistics?

Percentage points: actual share minus expected share. We use points, not percent, so 4.6pp always means the same gap whatever the outcome.

Where our numbers come from, what they measure, how to read them, and what they can’t tell you.

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Step 01

Where the data comes from

Results come from Pragmatic Play’s official live results feed. Every round is logged as it settles, then stored and counted once. Nothing is estimated or scraped from video.

01
Official feedPragmatic Play’s live results feed
02
Round settlesLogged the moment the result is final
03
StoredWritten once with its round ID and time
04
Counted onceFeeds every chart and timeframe

Step 02

What we measure

For each game we count how often every outcome landed in the timeframe you pick, and compare it with how often the game’s published layout says it should land.

Timeframes

Expected share · Money Time

2354=42.6%

“1” fills 23 of the wheel’s 54 segments.

Expected share · Roulette

137=2.70%

Every number, 0 to 36, is equally likely on every spin.

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Deviation · percentage points

47.2%−42.6%=4.6pp

Actual share minus expected share. We use points, not percent, so 4.6pp always means the same gap whatever the outcome.

Spins since · newest first

How many rounds since an outcome last landed. Here, “5” is at 3 spins since.

Step 03

How to read it

Short windows swing a lot. At about 60–90 spins an hour, a one-hour window gives each outcome only a few expected hits, so wide swings are normal. Longer windows settle closer to the expected figures.

Normal swing by timeframe · ~75 spins an hourOne roulette number · expected 2.70%

−10ppexpected+10pp

Expected hits10M

0.330M

1.01H

2.06H

1212H

2424H

4948H

9772H

146

The band shows roughly where 95% of windows land by chance alone. Hit counts in amber are under 5: too few to read much into.

Step 04

The other tools

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The largest multipliers landed recently, across every tracked game.

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Optimal bet

Which bet spot would have paid best over the window you pick. Looking back only.

Step 05

What the stats are not

Every spin is independent.

History describes the past.Hot and cold numbers, streaks and “spins since” tell you what already happened. They predict nothing.

No outcome is ever “due”.A number 200 spins cold has exactly the same chance on the next spin as one that just landed.

No pattern changes the odds.The wheel, dice and ball have no memory. Every round is independent of every round before it.

Step 06

Responsible play

18+

For information only. Play responsibly.

LiveCasino.Tools publishes statistics; it doesn’t take bets. Gambling is for adults 18 and over. Set a budget before you play and stop when it’s gone.

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